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姚志强:通力合作,把握ChatGPT带来的历史机遇

日期:2023-4-1      分类:科技创新      点击:


3月25日,在亚洲青年领袖论坛高质量发展主题论坛上,云从科技集团股份有限公司联合创始人、广东公司总经理姚志强发表主旨演讲。


全文如下:

各位领导、各位专家:

很荣幸有这样一个机会代表我们南沙人工智能企业给大家做一次分享。

我们是做人工智能的,在当前这个时点肯定逃不开最热门的通用人工智能ChatGPT和整个产业对未来社会带来的深刻影响。今天主要是围绕这个话题谈一下对高质量发展能带来哪些助力。

2022年底,ChatGPT人工智能程序实现了人工智能到通用人工智能历史性的跨越。通常,我们认为人工智能在某些窄的行业领域胜过人类是没有什么问题的,我们有AlphaGo等等应用,所有企业都遵循这样的商业范式推动商业落地。但是我们认为人工智能还不至于在很多人类通用场景中能够有相当的性能,所以我们经常说人工智能在很多场景下会呈现一种人工智障的这样一个情形。

但现在,ChatGPT出现了,彻底打破了以前固有的观念,特别是对未来商业范式产生重大的影响。可能训练一次这样一个大模型,或者说通用人工智能模型,在无数商业场景中都可以应用,未来的边际成本肯定是无限地下降,对整个未来影响可以说是颠覆性的。百度发布了文心一言,大家都能感受到这个影响是确实的。以前,感觉到通用人工智能还是离我们很遥远,即使简单的普通对话也会呈现出很弱智的环节,但是现在基本上能够很像正常的人类和我们进行一些问答和对答。我们现在怎么抓住这样一个机遇,提升行业高质量发展?我们认为有几个机遇:

第一个,可以解决产业数字化这样跨跃性的问题。通常在做产业升级,很多时候企业关注一些单点的技术升级,或者单个设备,很少有站在全局,站在全产业链或者整个完整生产过程中去看怎么升级,效果往往达不到预期。通用人工智能的出现,就可以站在非常好的全局高度统筹去看、全局去看,所以我们认为在数字化产业升级中会带来很大的机遇。

另外一个,我们经常会讲数据挖掘的价值问题。我们有很多数据,做了很多年数字化的工作,但是数据往往是躺在那里,我们发现不了价值。我们认为发现不了价值的核心原因是缺乏足够的专家——跨行业的专家——去寻找数据之间的关联关系。现在,有一个比较好的助手,就是通用人工智能。它天然地能够通过通用知识找到数据之间关联的一些关系,通过这种关联去挖掘价值。这样的话,我们只需要提供需求,请通用人工智能帮我们在这堆数据中找出关联关系,输出我们想要的答案。

另外一个,我们可能会让百姓在日常生活中感受到更好、更便捷。我们说我们已经做了很多一网通办、一网通管的工作,但是接下来有机会把它“通办”改变成“智办”,“智慧”的“智”。也就是说,我完全不需要去了解流程中需要什么东西、需要准备什么资料,我只要告诉它需求,它就会帮我自动去准备、去提取这些数据,自动帮我办理。那么整个窗口过程在办理各种业务的时候会更加的便捷,而且帮我们考虑更加的周全。

所以,我们认为接下来会有很多这样大的机会,可以让我们利用这个事情。但是,这中间并不是一个企业或者一个部门就可以简单做成的,需要一个合力。即使在美国,这个事情也不是非常简单的事情,是一个复杂的系统工程,我们认为很类似于登月工程。在当前,有算力、数据、算法,还有应用多个场景,需要很多的企业或者研究机构一起合力把这个事情往前推。所以,最好是有一个大家合作的方式——或者是联盟或者是共赢的方式——一起往前推进,这个事情才能够有更快的发展。

由于时间的关系,我的分享就到这里,谢谢大家!

Yao Zhiqing calls for cooperation to seize the historic opportunities presented by ChatGPT

On 25 March, Yao Zhiqiang, co-founder of CloudWalk Technology and general manager of its Guangdong branch, delivered a keynote speech at the High-quality Development Forum of the Asia Youth Leaders Forum. Following is the full text of the speech.


Excellencies,


Experts,


It is an honor to be able to represent Nansha’s AI companies and share my thoughts with you.


We specialize in AI. At this point in time, there is no escaping from the heated discussion on artificial general intelligence (AGI), that is, ChatGPT, and the profound impact of the industry on future societies. This is what I will talk about today, as well as how it can empower high-quality development. 


At the end of 2022, the AI program ChatGPT achieved a historic leap from AI to AGI. Usually, we have accepted the fact that AI can outperform humans in some niche fields. There is AlphaGo and so on. Every company has followed this business paradigm towards their application in business. However, we do not believe that AI is as good in many scenarios in the human life. This is why we often say that artificial intelligence under many circumstances seem to become artificial idiots. 


But now there is ChatGPT. It has shattered our biases. Particularly, it will have a significant impact on future business models. Once we finish training such a large model or a AGI model, it can be applied in countless business scenarios. Future marginal cost is bound to be on constant decrease. The impact on our future can be game-changing. Baidu has released ERNIE Bot, and we can feel that the impact is really there. 


We had thought that AGI was still far away from us, and that even in simple conversations, the intelligence was lacking. However, they now can act like a normal person and answer our questions. How do we seize these opportunities to enhance the high-quality development of the industry? We believe that there are several opportunities:


Firstly, it can solve such transformative problems as industry digitalization. Usually in industry upgrading, companies pay attention to the technological upgrade of some single points, or individual equipment. They rarely view it from the top – the whole industry chain or the entire production process, so the results often fail to meet expectations. The emergence of AGI allows us to stand at a very good vantage point and see the whole picture. Therefore, we believe that it will produce great opportunities for digital upgrading of industries.


Secondly, we often talk about unearthing the value of data. We have many data, and we have been digitalizing for many years. But oftentimes the data tend to be just data, without their value being discovered. We think the main reason for this is the lack of experts – cross-disciplinary experts – to work out the correlations between data. Now there is a good assistant, which is AGI. Through general knowledge, it can naturally find the relationships between data, and figure out the value through these relationships. In this way, we only need to provide our demands, and AGI will help us find the correlations in this pile of data and give the answers we want.


Thirdly, we may make it better and more efficient for ordinary citizens in their daily life. We say that we have achieved a lot in terms of “a single portal for all matters”. But there is the opportunity to change it from “single” to “smart”. That is to say, I don’t need to learn what is needed in the process, what documents need to be prepared. All I need is to tell it my demand, and it will automatically help me prepare and obtain the data and get the matter done. This way, the process at the counter when we need something done will be more efficient, and the consideration will be more thorough for us.


All in all, we think there will be many such great opportunities for us to make use of it. But this is not something simple that a company or agency can achieve alone. There needs to be concerted effort. Even in the US, this is not an easy task. It is a complex and systematic endeavor, like landing on the moon. At present, there is computing power, data, algorithms, and their application – such varied scenarios, there needs to be many companies or research institutions working together to push this forward. Therefore, it is best to have a way of cooperation – whether it’s alliance or some other win-win methods – to advance this goal, so that it can develop faster.


Due to time constraints, I will stop here. Thank you.

主办单位

  • 中国公共外交协会
  • 中国和平发展基金会
  • 广州市人民政府
  • 亚洲青年领袖联合会

承办单位

  • 广州公共外交协会
  • 广州市南沙区人民政府
  • 广州市人民对外友好协会

智库支持单位

  • 暨南大学全球青年领导力研究院
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